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Marcel Brown: In 1983, Steve Jobs gave a speech
to a relatively small audience at a somewhat
obscure event called the International Design
Conference in Aspen (IDCA). The theme of that
year?s conference was ?The Future Isn?t What It
Used To Be?, which looking back seems all too
fitting. Circumstances being what they are, very
little is available on the Internet regarding this
Steve Jobs speech. In my extensive research, I
could find only one recording of this talk, which
itself was just posted in June of this year. This
talk received a fair amount of attention at the end
of August, after it was mentioned in a
Smithsonian Magazine article written by Walter
Issacson, Jobs? biographer. However, the
recording currently available is not complete. It
ends after about 20 minutes, which corresponds
with the end of Jobs? prepared speech. Left out is
almost 40 minutes of a follow-up question and
answer session where Jobs offered incredible
insight into his vision of future technology. I now
present this recording to the world so that it may
be preserved indefinitely.
First, I?d like to thank one of my oldest clients,
John Celuch of Inland Design. He personally
attended this speech almost 30 years ago and
was the one who gave me the recording I now
share. Attendees of the speech received a
cassette tape copy and he held on to it all these
years. He found the tape sometime last year and
thought I might like it. He was absolutely right,
but because I was in the middle of a move (and
also due to a lack cassette tape players available
to me!) I set the tape aside and put off listening
to it until this summer. Had I known what was in
this recording, I would not have waited so long!
Incidentally, John met Steve Jobs at this
conference. During their interaction Steve Jobs
gave him something to put in a time capsule that
was buried at the conference. To our knowledge
this time capsule has yet to be dug up. I?ll share
more on this in a future article.
Here is the cassette tape I digitized this recording
from. I?m not sure what the #20 means.
After listening to the recording, I did some
research in an attempt to find some pictures of
this speech. I only found one source of pictures,
courtesy of Arthur Boden via his son Ivan?s Flicker
account. Arthur had also personally attended this
speech and took some pictures of Steve Jobs
giving his talk. His son uncovered them while
scanning some old slides and made them available
on his Flicker account. To my knowledge, these
may be the only known pictures of this speech. If
anyone has any other pictures of this talk or any
other Steve Jobs sightings at the conference, I?d
love to know.
Regarding the speech, it is amazing to hear Steve
Jobs talk about some things that were not fully
realized until only a handful of years ago. This
talks shows us just how incredibly ahead of his
time he was. I?ve listened to the entirety of the
recording a few times now and have taken
extensive notes, of which I will further elaborate
on in future blog postings. But for now, here are a
few of the highlights ? and remember ? he is
speaking in 1983. To put that in context, the
Macintosh had not yet been introduced, Apple still
thought the Lisa was going to be a hit, and the
IBM PC was the second most popular personal
computer behind the Apple II series.
He mentions that computers are so fast they are
like magic. I don?t think it is a coincidence that he
called the iPad ?magical?.
He states that in a few years people will be
spending more time interacting with personal
computers than with cars. It seems so obvious
now, but hardly a given back then.
He equates society?s level of technology familiarity
to being on a ?first date? with personal
computers. He recognized that technology would
continue to evolve in the near future as would
people?s comfort level with it. In hindsight, once it
became dominant the PC industry stood relatively
still while Jobs was busy planning ?the next big
thing?.
He confidently talks about the personal computer
being a new medium of communication. Again,
this is before networking was commonplace or
there was any inkling of the Internet going
mainstream. Yet he specifically talks about early
e-mail systems and how it is re-shaping
communication. He matter-of-factly states that
when we have portable computers with radio
links, people could be walking around anywhere
and pick up their e-mail. Again, this is 1983, at
least 20 years before the era of mobile
computing.
He mentions an experiment done by MIT that
sounds very much like a Google Street View
application.
He discusses early networking and the mess of
different protocols that existed at the time. He
predicts that we were about 5 years away from
?solving? networking in the office and 10-15
years from solving networking in the home. I?d
say he was pretty much dead-on.
He says Apple?s strategy is to ?put an incredibly
great computer in a book that you can carry
around with you that you can learn how to use in
20 minutes?. Does that sound like anything we
are familiar with today? And they wanted to do it
with a ?radio link? so that people wouldn?t need to
hook it up to anything to communicate with
?larger databases? and other computers. Hmmm
?.
He compares the nascent software development
industry to the record industry. He says that most
people didn?t necessarily know what computer
they wanted to buy. In contrast, when walking
into a record store they definitely knew what
music they liked. This was because they got free
samples of songs by listening to the radio. He
thought that the software industry needed
something like a radio station so that people could
sample software before they buy it. He believed
that software distribution through traditional
brick-and-mortar was archaic since software is
digital and can be transferred electronically
through phone lines. He foresees paying for
software in an automated fashion over the phone
lines with credit cards. I don?t know about you,
but I think this sounds incredibly similar to the
concept of the Apple App Store. Plus his
comparison to the music industry just might be
foreshadowing the iTunes store. You need to
listen to the speech to hear the entirety of this
passage for yourself.
Right at the end of the Q&A session, a question is
asked about voice recognition, which he believed
was the better part of a decade away from reality.
Given the context of Siri today, it is interesting to
hear him talk about the difficultly of recognizing
language vs voice because language is
contextually driven. He says, ?This stuff is hard?. |