LinksShow PartnerThis episode is presented by FTX. Trade on an awesome mobile interface fee-free, and still get all the great portfolio tracking features you know and love: https://uponly.tv/ftx Show NotesTrading – abetrade – making case for leverage if you’re at least decent at trading – Cobie: “Is there a reasonable path for someone who’s new to crypto to becoming profitable within 6 months to 1 year?” – abe: “Yeah I mean I started on legacy markets…took me like 2-3 years before I became reasonably profitable” – abe just sticks to BTC and ETH – SZ traded 10 years of FX, but then 1 alt run can just make him more – SZ thinks the dollar top is in – iso used to leverage trade a lot – thinks everyone should go through that phase to figure out what they’re good at – did mostly TA, trying to catch bids on the pain points in the market – now mostly buy and holds, finds good projects and invests in fundamentals – saw this coming for metaverse and gaming tokens Metaverse – ISO has a strong thesis there and is holding a lot of metaverse and gaming tokens – iso sees that the metaverse already exists – his nephew spends so much time on Fortnite and Roblox. That’s where he hangs out with his friends and trades things in game – saw that crypto had an obvious intersection there and the assets would be on chain – sold AXS way too early lol – but has a long term thesis that crypto gaming will be HUGE – ISO: “This is inning 1 of crypto gaming” – Much more narrative trading now – Cobie: “Adam, do you think the metaverse is a real thing?” – Adam: “No I think it’s gonna be huge…I think its the next step” – Cobie: “ISO – how do you position for these trades?” – mostly relative trades based on users/ large caps and small caps – ISO: “Video games transitioning to p2e will make people see that this is not a waste of time, and its a source of income” Moar Trading – “I think we go higher” – the alt L1s never pump at the same time – gotta catch the rotation – Cobie: “Bitcoin culture is almost cringe within crypto now” – it used to be cool and dangerous and Silk Road and stuff, but now its just cringey – Cobie: “I think I’m philosophically against EIP 1559, economically for it” Macro Outlook – Ledger: “You gotta look for ways to justify your positions so when price action goes against you ya need macros to justify it” lol – by the time everyone’s saying it its priced in – some stocks talk and macro somethings – SZ thinks 52k then maybe 60k Personal Max Pain – Ledger: “Zcash under $200” – Sam coins are absolutely crushing Barry coins – Sam coins just go up, Barry coins get crushed lol Back to Metaverse – ISO: Wilder World had great fundamentals and kept hitting their milestone – Next wave is potentially gaming on AVAX – Also, NEAR protocol has an $800M fund pushing their ecosystem L1 Rotation Trade Dead? – Tough to tell, def not going to 0, but maybe relative momentum – Cobie: “I mean SBF might literally have infinite bid for Solana with like a few bps of FTX” – Bullish unlocks? – Cobie: “People get scared of unlocks, but with the ‘bullish unlock’ meme, most of the locked coins are sold OTC on a trust basis, so the people holding aren’t up 10,000x, the new holders are really only up like 2-3x” – There are bearish unlocks when FDV is high, volume is low, investors are up, etc FINAL ALPHA – ISO: “Really important to keep an open mind – a lot of success in life will come from surrounding yourself with the right people” – SZ: “Take somebody less fortunate that’s in the space and try to change their life. 1 at a time” – Adam: “There are so many things you can do – spend less time arguing about what is the best way to make money and spend more time following your own curiosity” Notes by Kevin Music by GiovanniPickle |