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We’re always talking about residential real estate. But what about that “other” market, the one worth $24 trillion? It’s no secret that commercial real estate has had one of its toughest stretches in many years, with many calling it an outright “crash.” If we’ve already reached the bottom, could large multifamily and other assets be poised for a huge turnaround in 2026?
Over the last couple of years, we’ve seen multifamily, office, retail, and even self storage prices tumble due to several factors: rising mortgage rates, rate adjustments on commercial debt, higher cap rates, tighter lending criteria, and more supply coming online. This “perfect storm” has put significant downward pressure on commercial property values, causing forced selling and scaring many investors away.
But these same challenges could create opportunity, especially if prices stabilize over the next 12 months. We break down the variables at play, the most compelling bull and bear cases for these assets, and how investors can protect themselves with “scared” real estate analysis.
Dave is ready to take advantage, but which asset is he betting on?
In This Episode We Cover
Dave’s 2026 predictions for the commercial real estate market
Whether large multifamily values could bounce back in 2026
The “perfect storm” that caused the steep decline in large multifamily prices
The bull and bear cases for a commercial real estate turnaround
The asset class that is least likely to recover from the commercial “crash”
Four tips for investors looking to buy multifamily properties in the next 12 months
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
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Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets
Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter
Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area
BiggerPockets Real Estate 1073 - The Opportunity is Coming in Commercial Real Estate (How to Take Advantage)
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Yardi
CoStar
FRED
Buy the Book, "The Multifamily Millionaire, Vol. I"
Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-393
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