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Podcast: Hold That Thought
Episode:

How to Forecast an Election
Category: Science & Medicine
Duration: 00:11:01
Publish Date: 2016-09-29 09:35:13
Description: It's about six weeks until the 2016 US presidential election, and everyone wants to know: Who will win? Hillary Clinton? Or Donald Trump? To attempt to answer this question, political scientists like Jacob Montgomery build complex forecasting models. Montgomery shares his own unique approach to forecasting, and describes both the limitations and the value of these efforts to predict the future.
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