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Early-morning action in the repo market shows a musical chairs-like collateral scramble; it has the Fed's attention. But the Fed is blasé about it (i.e. 'too much cash'). Yet these collateral scrambles resemble what we saw in March 2020. ----SEE EPISODE #91---- Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
----HEAR EPISODE #91--- Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ----EP #91 TOPICS------- 01:53 Montana Senator Daines asked a Jeff-Snider-question to Jerome Powell in testimony. 05:02 Jerome Powell stated the Fed is focusing on the [dead] Federal Funds rate / range. WHY?! 06:29 In later testimony Powell changes his mind from "too much cash" to "not little collateral" 11:11 The NYFed notices that most repo transactions take place very early in the morning. Why? 13:39 Early morning collateral scrambles? The repo market? These took place in March 2020. 17:53 The NYFed offers several other reasons for the scramble: fees and liquidity. 19:07 The NYFed notes that more trades are taking place pre-market (to preempt the scramble?) 20:27 Monday, July 19 UST Bond yields dropped - but that was not a Jeff Snider "collateral day" 23:32 Tuesday, July 20 UST Bill yields traced out a fang-like drop in an early morning scramble 25:25 Show Conclusion: collateral scrambles are not rainbow/unicorn-reflationary phenomena
----EP #91 REFERENCES--- Lower Yields And (fewer) Bills: https://bit.ly/3BDZSxi Why Don't Bonds Reflect CPI Alarm About Inflation?: https://bit.ly/3kMx2oq Sorry, One More On Bills: Today A Really Good Example of All The Things We’ve Been Focused On Lately: https://bit.ly/3i20FAo Intraday Timing of General Collateral Repo Markets: https://nyfed.org/2VbxIZv Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
---------WHO----------- Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "Night Driver" by Ballpoint and Cushy from Epidemic Sound. |