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Journalists Kate Duguid and Eric Platt explain that US government bond markets believe the Federal Reserve will be able to tame inflation. Actually bond markets believe the Fed doesn't know what it's doing AND they believe consumer prices increases are not caused by the Fed. ------EP. 186 TOPICS------ 00:00 INTRO: The Financial Times says the Federal Reserve will control inflation; Jeff reacts. 01:25 The Federal Reserve will use the labor market data to support rate hikes. 04:24 Are market based inflation expectations for sub-three percent inflation in five years? 06:42 Does the bond market believe the Fed will be able to tame inflation? 10:41 Real rates are "sharply higher" says the FT; relative to the lowest ever says Jeff. 13:24 The FT works backwards to explain the market's behavior to keep the Fed central. 14:54 US employment figures for Nov-Dec '21 and Jan '22 received massive seasonal adjustments. 18:15 OUTRO: The bond market does not believe too much money has caused price increases. ----EP. 186 REFERENCES---- Bond market signals room for Fed to raise rates without stalling economy: https://on.ft.com/366WEXR More Questions Than Clarity On Labor Inflation Pressure As FOMC Seeks Justification For Taper/Rate Hikes: https://bit.ly/3oHiWpr In Advance of Payroll Friday, ADP Payrolls Go Cold: https://bit.ly/3uHxclV Payrolls and Population, What A Mess: https://bit.ly/3GIKlxx Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7 -----SEE ALL EPISODES----- YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL ----HEAR ALL EPISODES----- Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr ---------THE TEAM--------- Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments. Master of ceremonies, Emil Kalinowski. Illustrations by David Parkins. Audio and video editor, Terence. Episode intro/outro music is CABO by Superintendent McCupcakes from Epidemic Sound. ------FIND THE TEAM------- Jeff: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP Jeff: https://alhambrapartners.com/author/jsnider/ Emil: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski Emil: https://www.EuroDollarEnterprises.com David: https://DavidParkins.com/ Terence: https://www.VisualFocusMedia.com |