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The US government bond market appears to be out of step with CPI, a booming economy and money printing by central banks - what gives? We review two Federal Reserve officials explain that QE is very, really, super powerful (and that's why the bond market signals are haywire). ------EP. 187 TOPICS------ 00:00 INTRO: Federal Reserve officials say QE is very effective. 01:18 The US Treasury yield curve have been flattening for many months now. 03:49 Bill Dudley wrote a column for Bloomberg on August 9... the anniversary of the end. 05:50 Dudley says the economy is booming and bond yields are wrongly way, way way too low. 07:49 Dudley explains the low yields as 1) too much global savings. 09:40 Dudley explains the low yields as 2) QE being very powerful. 10:27 QE is supposed to work via three channels: sentiment, portfolio and bank reserves. 14:19 Fed President Esther George said 12-years of QE has lowered 10-year yields by 1.5%. 19:31 Most all studies of QE show it to be a meek policy with modest, underwhelming results. 21:21 Low bond yields are not a result of meek / modest / underwhelming QE. 22:47 OUTRO: Central bankers are desperate to discredit the bond market. ----EP. 187 REFERENCES---- Bond Yields Can’t Stay This Low Forever: https://bloom.bg/3HLezRO Another Attempt At QE/Inflation: https://bit.ly/3HIQStl Everything Is About Obscuring the True State of the Economy: https://bit.ly/3Ls0ivG Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
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---------THE TEAM--------- Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments. Master of ceremonies, Emil Kalinowski. Illustrations by David Parkins. Audio and video editor, Terence. Episode intro/outro music is CABO by Superintendent McCupcakes from Epidemic Sound.
------FIND THE TEAM------- Jeff: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP Jeff: https://alhambrapartners.com/author/jsnider/
Emil: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski Emil: https://www.EuroDollarEnterprises.com David: https://DavidParkins.com/ Terence: https://www.VisualFocusMedia.com |