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On February 24, 2021 Fedwire broke down for several hours - it was the the feather that broke the economic recovery camel's back. Copper, gold, silver, the yuan, Kiwi dollar, Treasuries, swap spreads, OATs - even bitcoin - all saw their trajectories change for the worse. ------EP. 196 TOPICS------ 00:00 INTRO: Fedwire broke for hours on February 24, 2021 and took recovery down with it. 01:18 Many headlines in February 2021 suggest economic recovery and a boom was ahead. 03:00 At 11:15 AM Fedwire, FedCash, FedLine, Check 21 all experienced disruptions. 04:37 Fed's Treasury Market Practices Group says it was not a cyberattack; everything was fine. 05:17 The IMF says they too do not know what happened; no details were provided. 06:01 Fedwire's break resulted in a sea-change across global markets in risk perceptions. 09:05 Headlines were positive in early 2021 but underneath there was rot in the world economy 12:22 Lots of markets inflected away from recovery in response to the Fedwire blackout. 16:00 OUTRO: Russia in 2022, like Covid in 2020, will be blamed for preexisting slowing.
----EP. 196 REFERENCES---- A Year Later, The Fact Fedwire Is Still There Tells Us Why Markets Have Done What They’ve Done: https://bit.ly/3srvhAg Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
-----SEE ALL EPISODES----- Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
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---------THE TEAM--------- Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments. Master of ceremonies, Emil Kalinowski. Illustrations by David Parkins. Audio and video editor, Terence. Episode intro/outro music is "Hong Kong Story" by Lazer Boomerang.
------FIND THE TEAM------- Jeff: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP Jeff: https://alhambrapartners.com/author/jsnider/
Emil: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski Emil: https://www.EuroDollarEnterprises.com David: https://DavidParkins.com/ Terence: https://www.VisualFocusMedia.com Lazer Boomerang: https://www.facebook.com/lazerboomerang/ Lazer Boomerang: https://soundcloud.com/user-14207639 |