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Podcast: The Simple Handicap
Episode:

Las Vegas Raiders 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview

Category: Sports & Recreation
Duration: 00:14:39
Publish Date: 2022-08-15 08:01:00
Description:

Telegram Link: https://t.me/+ByNAj_cW_EdjZmIx 

Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/las-vegas-raiders-season-betting-preview-2022 

Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)

1. The Las Vegas Raiders were BIG overachievers in 2021 excelling in all the major categories that bettors love to look at as luck metrics. Point differential, one score games, second half combacks, schedule luck. Everything went the way of the Raiders in 2021. 

2. There is A LOT of optimism about the Raiders offense in 2022. The addition of Adams gives the Raiders arguably the best receiver trio in the league between WR/SLOT/TE with Adams, Renfrow and Waller. Each are terrific route runners and great in space. 

3. On paper, this looks ideal to pair with Derek Carr who is extremely accurate and consistent in his play. Annually he is one of the most overlooked QB's and now with top talent around him, everything is in place to succeed. 

4. The only problem I see is that in spending to get Adams, they neglected the offensive line. Carr season after season has played with an elite OL blocking for him. This season will be the worst he has ever had, with just one starter grading above average at his position in 2021. 

5. This is significant, because the splits for Carr when pressured vs kept clean turn him into a below average QB, rather than a top talent in the league. If all of the preseason love for this offense is fuelled by his past performance with a top OL, perhaps this team is over valued considering what he will have to do make do with this year. 

All that said, the Raiders defense will be terrible, and Las Vegas should find themselves in plenty of high scoring games this season against such a difficult schedule. A over team here in many ways, but not as clear cut as made out to be. 

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