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Podcast: The Simple Handicap
Episode:

Pittsburgh Steelers 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview

Category: Sports & Recreation
Duration: 00:15:34
Publish Date: 2022-08-03 08:20:23
Description:

Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/pittsburgh-steelers-season-betting-preview-2022 

Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)

1. The Steelers defense is going to be absolutely LOADED. Not a surprise to say that either. Highest paid defense in the league, holes were filled in the offseason and Flores, a brilliant defensive mind, was added. Potential to be the best defense in football. 

2. The Steelers offensive line is going to be absolutely HORRID. Not a surprise to say that either! Cheapest unit in the league, no holes were filled and likely to return four starters, but all of the returnees are among the worst at their position in 2021. 

3. The key thing to watch with Pittsburgh is the pass/run rate. Removing Roethlisberger from the team removes the lid on the offense. He was restricted and lacked arm strength. Does Canada trust Trubisky or Pickett to throw down field often? 

4. In my opinion, signs point to the Steelers RUNNING more and trusting Harris, while they figure out the situation at QB - if they ever do. While we may see more positive offensive scheme and tendencies (mainly play action), we likely see more run rate. 

5. Depending how low the pass rate drops, the Steelers pricing within the market is set to shift early in the season. More passing, more deep shots, totals and receiver props, way too short. More running, defenses sell out upfront and take advantage of the OL, Steelers become a dead under team.

Weeks 1, 2 and 3 will tell the story. Watch for it, and adjust. 

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