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Home > Property Apprentice Podcast > Recovery Signals vs. Price Drops: The "Oil Tanker" Economy & Housing Returns


	Podcast:		Property Apprentice Podcast
	Episode:		Recovery Signals vs. Price Drops: The "Oil Tanker" Economy & Housing Returns
	Category:		Business
	Duration:		00:20:11
	Publish Date:		2026-01-23 05:00:00
	Description:		Send Us A Message! Let us know what you think. Are we in a recovery or a price crash? In this week's episode, we tackle the mixed signals hitting the New Zealand market. BNZ economists are telling us "don't stop believin'" as business confidence hits multi-year highs, yet Trade Me data shows asking prices plummeted by over $80,000 in the last two months of 2025. We break down why REINZ says buyer confidence (and FOMO) is officially returning, despite the confusing data out of regions like Gisborne. Plus, we dive into the "Oil Tanker" effect—why dropping interest rates haven't put more money in your pocket yet—and settle the decade-long debate: Did KiwiSaver actually outperform property investment over the last 10 years? Topic #1: NZ Adviser 22nd of January - "Don’t stop believin’" in NZ recovery: BNZ economist Topic #2: RNZ 22nd of January - Confidence returning to property market, REINZ says Topic #3: Good Returns 21st of January - Why mortgage holders don’t feel like there is more money in their pocket Topic #4: 1News 20th of January - KiwiSaver or your house - which will give better investment returns? Topic #5: Interest.co.nz 21st of January - Average asking price of residential properties listed on Trade Me Property sank $82,500 in November and December - Auckland down $126,400, Gisborne takes a huge hit
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