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Iran Sanctions: - Recap of events: US wants to zero out all Iranian oil exports (potentially 2.5 million bpd of oil). Is that even possible? - See new analysis from Ellen Wald and David Mortlock at Atlantic Council: http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/energysource/the-risks-of-the-trump-administration-s-whiplash-policy-on-iranian-oil - Saudi Arabia source of spare capacity, but Russia also increasing production - OPEC implications: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-oil-opec-iran/iran-to-saudi-opec-deal-does-not-give-the-right-to-pump-oil-above-target-idUSKBN1K60X9 - US Softens (maybe) position on Iran sanctions https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-iran-mnuchin/mnuchin-says-u-s-will-consider-some-waivers-on-iran-sanctions-idUSKBN1K61HT https://www.cnn.com/2018/07/16/politics/us-signals-it-would-consider-exemptions-on-iranian-oil/index.html - Cryptocurrency possibilities for Iran
Oil Falls as Traders Anticipate Higher Supply https://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-falls-ahead-of-trump-putin-summit-1531736412 - market moves aren't just based on supply and demand, but speculation is built into price moves
Peak oil demand forecast for 2036 https://www.ft.com/content/a12af4be-85cf-11e8-96dd-fa565ec55929 - Skeptical of these kinds of claims, especially since uses for petroleum keep increasing and when prices go down we spur economic growth that then increases demand
Surprise question for Ellen: Will Elon Musk still be the CEO of Tesla this time next year? |