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Home > Excess Returns > Long-Term Uptrend. Short-Term Warning Signs | Katie Stockton on What the Charts Say About 2026


	Podcast:		Excess Returns
	Episode:		Long-Term Uptrend. Short-Term Warning Signs \| Katie Stockton on What the Charts Say About 2026
	Category:		Business
	Duration:		01:02:22
	Publish Date:		2026-01-08 14:17:11
	Description:		In this episode of Excess Returns, Katie Stockton of Fairlead Strategies joins Matt Zeigler and Justin Carbonneau to walk through her technical outlook for markets as we head into 2026. The conversation focuses on trend analysis, momentum, volatility, and risk management across U.S. equities, sectors, international markets, and alternative assets. Rather than making predictions, Katie explains how she reacts to price, confirms signals, and uses a disciplined technical process to identify opportunities and manage downside risk in changing market environments. Main topics covered Market trend outlook for U.S. equities heading into 2026 Why long-term trends remain constructive despite rising short-term risks How to think about volatility, consolidation, and corrective phases What loss of momentum in late 2025 signals for near-term positioning How to use triangle formations, support, and resistance levels Understanding DeMark indicators, MACD, and stochastic signals Leadership shifts within large-cap technology and the Mag 7 Growth versus value dynamics across market caps Small caps, market breadth, and participation signals Sector rotation insights including technology, healthcare, financials, energy, utilities, and real estate How sentiment indicators like fear and greed fit into a broader process Gold, silver, and precious metals trends and volatility Bitcoin and crypto from a technical perspective The U.S. dollar, yields, and global market implications International and emerging market opportunities How the Fairlead Tactical Sector ETF is constructed and used in portfolios Where a tactical, risk-managed strategy can fit within asset allocation Timestamps 00:00 Market setup and trend perspective for 2026 01:25 Long-term uptrend versus short-term risk 04:16 Momentum loss and near-term caution 06:00 Nasdaq 100 triangle and volatility setup 07:45 Ichimoku clouds and trend confirmation 11:01 Using consolidation and support levels 13:05 Tech leadership and relative strength shifts 18:30 Small caps, breadth, and market participation 21:01 Growth versus value across market caps 23:00 Market breadth and advance-decline signals 24:13 Sentiment, fear and greed, and retests 30:00 Breakouts, catalysts, and confirmation 32:00 Sector rotation overview 35:00 Energy, real estate, and rate-sensitive sectors 39:10 Fairlead Tactical Sector ETF strategy 45:00 International and emerging markets 47:36 Gold, silver, and precious metals 51:04 U.S. dollar and currency trends 54:00 Bitcoin and crypto technical outlook 57:12 Key indicators to watch going forward 59:07 Long-term takeaways for investors
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