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In this special episode of Excess Returns, we share the most important investing lessons from more than 50 of our top guests. After asking more than 200 investors, strategists, academics, and market thinkers the same closing question about the one lesson they would teach the average investor, we compiled the most powerful, timeless, and repeatable insights into a single episode. This collection highlights common themes around patience, discipline, humility, diversification, risk management, and long-term thinking, while revealing how great investors navigate markets, behavior, and uncertainty. Main topics covered: Why investing is about preserving and growing wealth, not getting rich Why neither get in nor get out is an investing strategy The role of base rates in decision-making The dangers of performance chasing Why you should look at your portfolio less often The importance of independent thinking and avoiding envy Treating stocks as businesses, not trading sardines Diversification across assets, strategies, and economic regimes The behavioral traps that destroy wealth Liquidity, supply and demand, and how markets really function The value of patience, long-term thinking, and sticking to your plan How to build a resilient portfolio that survives different market environments Why simplicity often beats complexity The role of humility, self-awareness, and keeping emotions out of investing
Timestamps: 00:00 Investing is about preserving and growing wealth 00:45 Why neither get in nor get out is a strategy 01:16 How we arrived at the one-lesson question 02:00 Finding a portfolio you can live with 03:00 Avoiding envy and chasing 10-baggers 04:00 Why watching markets too closely hurts results 05:00 The Matt Levine rule of unbelievable returns 06:00 The power of base rates 08:00 Look at your portfolio as little as possible 10:00 Treat your holdings like real businesses 12:00 Be invested early and think independently 14:00 Be kind to yourself and keep taking action 15:58 Do not chase performance 17:00 Treat every position like you put it on today 18:31 Your portfolio is secondary to your life 19:44 Buy when others are fearful 20:00 Be Rip Van Winkle, not Nostradamus 22:00 Navigate the noise and avoid the siren song 23:38 The value of simplicity and studying history 24:59 Patience and tuning out the noise 26:00 True diversification and preparing for unknown regimes 27:50 Stick to a strategy that fits your personality 29:00 Diversify and be humble about what you know 30:00 Most results come from the market, not manager skill 32:38 Keep investing simple 34:00 Focus on what is knowable 35:00 Believe in long-term economic and market resilience 37:00 Get out of your own way 38:22 Build a philosophy you can stick to 39:00 Misjudging probabilities and confidence 40:46 Book your gains and contain your losses 41:00 Diversification is protection against bad luck 42:00 Supply, demand, and liquidity always matter 45:00 Markets as a political utility 46:00 Find something real if you want true alpha 47:00 Write down your decisions 48:32 Why 100 percent indexing is unrealistic for most 50:00 Alpha through portfolio structure, not just stock picking 52:00 Dividends and long-run investing 53:56 Valuation, time horizons, and patience 55:00 Embracing uncertainty and avoiding pigeonholing 56:33 Rules-based processes 57:35 Buy good businesses, not just cheap ones 59:00 Think long term and save early 01:01:00 Focus on the basics first 01:02:00 Avoid catastrophic losses 01:03:22 Evidence-based investing and avoiding resulting 01:04:09 Know what you own and keep fees low 01:05:00 Simple strategies often work best 01:06:00 Compounding and emotional control 01:07:00 Treat savings as savings, not lottery tickets 01:07:50 Balance enjoying today with protecting tomorrow 01:08:00 Stay invested and think long term 01:08:41 Be humble, patient, and systematic 01:09:00 Do your own work and build conviction |